Welcome to The Fordyce Letter:

The Fordyce Letter

Straight Talk for the Recruiting Profession


Articles tagged 'economy'

Industry News

July Jobs Report: Some Relief After a Week of Bad News



us-bureau-of-labor-statistics-logo

With Wall Street braced for the worst, the U.S. Labor Department had good news this morning. The U.S. economy added 117,000 jobs in July and the unemployment rate dipped to 9.1 percent.

Coming the day after the Dow plunged more than 500 points, the better-than-expected jobs numbers offered some relief from the last two weeks of pessimistic reports about the economy. Stocks opened higher.

Estimates ahead of the report pegged job growth at around 90,000 during July, though some economists said the number could be as low as 55,000. The unemployment rate, which ticked up in June to 9.2 percent, was expected to be unchanged. ADP’s National Employment Report Wednesday, which is not often in sync with the government report, said 114,000 private sector jobs were added in July. The BLS put that number at a 154,000. Government job losses offset the private sector gains.

The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, which compiles and maintains labor data for the U.S., also revised upwards jobs numbers for May by 53,000 and June by 46,000.

Industry News

Private Sector Jobs Up for July, Though Other Reports Suggest Stalling Economy



fordyce-default

Payroll processor ADP says 114,000 private sector jobs were created in July, a number inline, if on the high side, with what economists expected.

All but 9,000 of the jobs were created by small and mid-size businesses employing up to 499 workers. The gain came in the service sector, which added 121,000 jobs during the month, according to ADP and its forecasting partner, Macroeconomic Advisers. The goods-producing sector lost 7,000 jobs, with manufacturing alone shedding 1,00o. Construction was down by 11,000, the third consecutive monthly decline.

Widely watched for clues as to what the U.S. Labor Department’s monthly employment report (out on the Friday after the ADP release) is likely to show, the ADP National Employment Report is often far off the official numbers.

In June, ADP estimated private sector job creation at 157,000, revised down to 145,000 in today’s release. The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics put the private sector number at 57,000. For May, ADP said 73,000 jobs were created; the BLS said 36,000. In April, ADP said 179,000 jobs were added; the BLS said 241,00.

Industry News

Pessimism Growing in Advance of July Jobs Report



New-job-listings-7

Now that the drama queens in Washington seem to have reached a debt-ceiling compromise we can get back to the other big issue: job growth.

This is the week when the U.S. Department of Labor reports its monthly employment numbers. Against a backdrop of slowing manufacturing, declining consumer job hopes, and other signs of a financial stall, economists are not holding out much hope that Friday’s report will be anything to celebrate.

A Bloomberg News survey of 62 economists found they expected, on average, that unemployment will remain at 9.2 percent and that 100,000 jobs will have been added to the economy. That would certainly be an improvement over June’s 18,000 jobs, but no where near the 250,000 to 300,000 needed to put a dent in the unemployment rate.

Meanwhile, a report from The Conference Board earlier this week offers no hope that August will be better. New job openings advertised online in July fell by an astounding 217,000 listings. It’s the biggest decline since January 2009, when 346,000 fewer listings were online.

To get your arms around what the number means, consider that through June, there were a total of 689,000 new job postings this year. July’s drop wiped out a third of the gains. The other consideration is that help-wanted ads suggest a slow August, since ads are run in advance of the actual hiring.

Business, Industry News

Halfway Through 2011: Is Your Glass Half-Full or Half-Empty?



glass-half-full by vizzzual

This time of the year I like to spend some time reflecting on what the first six months of the year produced as well as listening to what other folks in my industry anticipate for the next six months. Here’s what I have come up with and I hope you find it valuable.

Hiring is back… but not in the same form

The first half of 2011 has continued to be a very busy hiring market. Almost every one I speak with has hired or is planning to hire. There has been a TON of movement in the market but, just because everyone is hiring does not mean “everyone is hiring.” The hiring that I have seen and heard about has been selective, taking longer than usual and not without hiccups. Counter offers are back, salary expectations are unreasonable again, and internal candidates are everywhere. At the same time, budgets are still very much on the forefront of most hiring managers’ agenda and still dictate many of the hiring decisions.

Editor's Corner, Industry News

The Push and Pull of Recruiting: Who’s in Charge Here?



t72570vzy4t

It’s a never-ending battle. We are at opposite ends of the table from our corporate recruiting counterparts when it comes to what we want:

Us: Biggest fee for least amount of time investment (particularly for those who are strictly contingent)

Them: Most amount of effort invested by third-party recruiters for the smallest fee (hence the frequent “cattle calls” for searches)

…don’t forget the Candidates: Damn — they just want a job!

Supply and demand often dictate who is at the helm in these relationships. Everyone involved takes turns. being “in charge.” That’s why we’re all so interdependent on one another and why good relationships are so important to maintain.

Industry News

June Jobs Report: Not What We Expected



us-bureau-of-labor-statistics-logo

Expectations that the seesawing U.S. economy might be stabilizing were cruelly dashed this morning with the release of official numbers showing a mere 18,000 jobs were created in June. The unemployment rate climbed to 9.2 percent from May’s 9.1 percent.

It was the third consecutive month the unemployment rate rose, while June’s jobs growth was the lowest since last September when the economy lost jobs. The jobs growth was also far lower than economists had been expecting. Even the most conservative estimate pegged June’s job growth at 40,000, according to Bloomberg.

Surveys by various financial services predicted that this morning’s report from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics would show the economy added as many as 115,000 jobs during the month. Those predictions were buoyed by yesterday’s robust ADP report that estimated the economy added 157,000 private sector jobs in June.

Instead, today’s report put the growth in private, non-farm jobs at 57,000 for the month. Government, at all levels, shed 39,000.

Industry News

Private Sector Job Growth Handily Beats Estimates, Buoys Markets



CareerBuilder-hiring-survey-graphic

News yesterday morning that new private sector jobs quadrupled in June over May’s anemic 36,000, while new unemployment claims dropped by far more than economists expected, sent stocks higher later in the day.

Payroll processor ADP said its analysis of job growth last month showed the economy added 157,000 private sector jobs. Economists were expecting, on average, that as little as half that many new jobs were added.

Meanwhile, initial claims for unemployment dropped last week by 14,000, to 432,000. That’s the lowest number of new claims in seven weeks and a sharper drop than the 3,000 or so predicted by economists. However, data collection was hampered by the holiday weekend, while Minnesota’s government shutdown added some 2,500 workers to the counts.

Still, the 4-week average of initial filings, a method for smoothing out weekly variations, declined to 424,750, a drop of 3,000 from the week before.

The two reports encouraged investors who bid up the Dow some 81 points at noon, New York time. All other major indices also saw gains.

Industry News

Surprising Economic Reports Help Lift U.S. Stocks



fordyce-default

With the world’s investors worrying about Japan’s nuclear problems and rebellions of all sorts in the Mideast, the U.S. enjoyed a little good news this week.

Initial unemployment filings dropped more than economists expected, while the Federal Reserve’s Philadelphia branch reported that manufacturing orders in its region were soaring.

The news helped lift the Dow to a nearly 150-point gain by late afternoon Thursday.

Industry News

Hiring Optimism Among U.S. Employers



fordyce-default

According to the latest Manpower Employment Outlook Survey results, the U.S. outlook for Quarter 2 2011 is +8%, up from +6% during the same period last year and consistent with the +8% Outlook during Quarter 1 2011.

Manpower Inc. releases the Manpower Employment Outlook Survey quarterly to measure employers’ intentions to increase or decrease the number of employees in their workforce during the next quarter. Polling nearly 64,000 employers in 39 countries and territories, the survey is conducted using a validated methodology in accordance with the highest standards in market research. In the U.S., the survey is conducted by an independent, third-party research firm and includes a select sample of more than 18,000 U.S. employers. This sample represents the top 100 Metropolitan Statistical Areas based on business establishment count and all 50 states, the District of Columbia and Puerto Rico.

Business

Recruiting, Redemption, and American Economic Viability



fordyce-default

“We would like to live as we once did but history will not permit it.” –John F Kennedy

I was instantly impressed by the tone. By the anger and edgy urban feel. The tag line gave me shivers as the Super Bowl’s “Imported From Detroit” spot knocked me out — an up front, in your face blast from the Motor City. The message? Absolutely gorgeous and ice cold simple. We Are Back. Yes indeed! I too love the smell of napalm in the morning.

Being a boy who loves cars, I have always been a fan of Detroit and made reference to it very specifically in Employment Rage. Case in point: Quoting from a special report in Time magazine, October 5, 2009: “By any quantifiable standard, the city is on life support. Detroit’s treasury is $300 million short of the funds needed to provide the barest municipal services … The murder rate is soaring, and 7 out of 10 remain unsolved …the unemployment rate is 28.9 percent. That’s worth spelling out: twenty-eight point nine percent.” Clearly, as goes the car industry, so goes Detroit.

We have lived through a grisly two years. The causalities have been monumental and the casualties have been deep. Homes, careers, dreams, and marriages — gone. Enough. Enough of what has been because the past is a bucket of ashes.

The time has come to focus on what will be. To find a new sense of pride and a new sense of purpose and a new sense of hope for all we can do to create a vibrant and durable American economy.